LUCK, MAGIC OR LIES?
My friend Dr. Forrest shared this tidbit of interest on the “Believe or Not” performance of our federal government. He referred the following facts to a gentleman he knows who has a PHD in statistics and he said the process looks right to him “providing each act is an independent event”.
The odds of winning the Florida lottery are 1 in 22,957,480.
The odds of winning the Powerball is 1 in 175,223,510.
The odds of winning Mega Millions is 1 in 258,890,850.
The odds of a disk drive failing in any given month are roughly one in 36. The odds of two different drives failing in the same month are roughly one in 36 squared, or 1 in about 1,300. The odds of three drives failing in the same month is 36 cubed or 1 in 46,656.
The odds of seven different drives failing in the same month (like what happened at the IRS when they received a letter asking about emails targeting conservative and pro-Israeli groups) is 37 to the 7th power = 1 in 78,664,164,096. That my friend is over 78 Billion. In other words, the odds are greater that you will win the Florida Lottery 342 times than having those seven IRS hard drives crashing in the same month.
How on earth could this happen at the IRS? Dumb luck, just magically with no human intervention or another pack of lies we see consistently from our government?
Even Harry Reid, Queen Nancy Pelosi and our Liar in Chief, Emperor Obama, could not outdo this miracle.